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Japan's trend GDP growth rate unlikely to improve [ClearOnMoney]
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Japan's trend GDP growth rate unlikely to improve

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Commentary

Japan's trend GDP growth rate unlikely to improve

6 Apr 2011 by Jim Fickett.

My interest in Japan's economy is mostly focused on the sovereign debt issue. For some countries and at some times it is argued that the economy, and hence the means to pay debt, can grow much faster than the debt, and hence make the debt, in the long run, negligible. Of course it is quite clear that this argument does not apply to Japan. Nevertheless, economic growth does make at least some difference to the debt problem, and it is worth keeping an eye on the GDP growth rate.

Growth in real GDP in Japan was positive in 5 of the last 7 quarters, showing some real recovery. However over the last 10 years, average growth has been at an annual rate of only 0.6%. Further, the growth rate seems to have been in a declining trend for the last few quarters, and the worsening demographics will not help in the long run. It thus seems that growth is unlikely to make any significant contribution to reducing debt.

(For sources see the Reference page Japan GDP.)