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Manufacturing in Japan is not recovering [ClearOnMoney]
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Manufacturing in Japan is not recovering

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Commentary

Manufacturing in Japan is not recovering

29 Mar 2013 by Jim Fickett.

Today the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry reported industrial production through February. Manufacturing is more or less unchanged from last month. While it is hard to tell what the longer-term trend is, it is clear what it is not – namely one of recovery.

Some people attribute the troubles of manufacturers to a relatively high value for the yen in recent years, and see hope in the recent drop of the yen. If this is really the primary issue, we should see results quite soon.

Some analysts see a primary problem in undependable and expensive electric power since the country's nuclear reactors were shut down. Certainly this is a drag, and is not going to change quickly.

Some economists see the main problem as insufficient monetary and fiscal stimulus. If this is really the problem, the new government is very likely to fix it. I personally think that more stimulus will have little positive effect and will eventually lead to inflation. We will see.